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Will Levis NFL draft misinformation helps sportsbooks to rare win

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Will Levis eats bananas with the peel on and places mayonnaise in his espresso.

However maybe essentially the most shocking reality concerning the Kentucky quarterback is that he wasn’t chosen within the first spherical of the NFL draft.

Levis grew to become a well-liked wager this week to go No. 1 after a Reddit submit claimed he instructed his family and friends the Panthers had knowledgeable him he’d be the highest choose.

His odds to go No. 1 rapidly dropped from 40-1 to 4-1 as bettors loaded up on Levis, who was requested concerning the submit earlier than the draft.

“I don’t need to communicate on it an excessive amount of,” he mentioned. “However simply don’t consider every part you learn on the web.”

The data on Bryce Younger — who grew to become the heavy favourite final week to go No. 1 after he reportedly canceled his remaining predraft visits — was spot on, as Carolina took the Alabama quarterback with the primary choose.

The misinformation on Levis helped Nevada sportsbooks to their first win on the draft since betting on the occasion was accredited in 2017.

“As I all the time say, ‘It’s not whether or not you win or lose on the draft, it’s how a lot you’re going to lose,” Caesars Sportsbook assistant director of buying and selling Adam Pullen mentioned. “However this 12 months we eked out a small win, surprisingly sufficient.

“The data is often stable, however we’re going to win one each now and again.”

Pullen mentioned most bettors didn’t need to lay the massive worth on Younger to go No. 1 and, for instance, wager $2,000 to win $100. However they have been throughout Levis at lengthy odds based mostly solely on the Reddit submit.

“Folks don’t need to miss that huge rating, particularly on the draft, which is all about info,” he mentioned. “Everyone’s trying to find the news. You simply should know who to belief. That’s the hazard. Simply because somebody is posting on some message board someplace doesn’t imply they’re right.

“However it’s straightforward to idiot individuals. Folks have that nugget of knowledge and need to guess on that, particularly at 40-1. Bettors should watch out and will do their due diligence and tread very flippantly.”

The Westgate SuperBook additionally was a small winner in Nevada.

“Primarily as a result of first choose prop that was posted some time again,” SuperBook vice chairman Jay Kornegay mentioned. “Younger closed as an enormous favourite.”

Stroud cut up resolution

Levis was a favourite at Caesars to go No. 2 at one level earlier than the chances shifted to Alabama move rusher Will Anderson, who was a -500 favourite Thursday morning. C.J. Stroud began Thursday at 4-1 earlier than closing as a -150 favourite.

That transfer proved worthwhile for Caesars bettors, because the Texans took the Ohio State quarterback with the second choose.

“That was in all probability the worst resolution general,” Pullen mentioned.

Stroud going No. 2 was the perfect resolution for Circa, which misplaced on the draft general.

“We misplaced a palatable quantity, near what I might have anticipated,” Circa director of danger Chris Bennett mentioned. “C.J. Stroud going second was good. (Florida quarterback) Anthony Richardson going fourth was dangerous.

“Extra losers than winners, as you’d anticipate given the character of this market.”

Caesars’ finest selections have been on props for the third, fourth and fifth picks. Stroud was the worst case for the third choose, the place Houston traded as much as take Anderson. Levis was the largest loser for the guide at No. 4, the place the Colts took Richardson.

Georgia defensive deal with Jalen Carter was the most important legal responsibility at No. 5, the place the Seahawks took Illinois cornerback Devon Witherspoon.

Raiders prop

Station Casinos was a small loser on the draft. However the guide’s greatest win was on a prop on the place of the Raiders’ first choose, which was Texas Tech defensive finish Tyree Wilson. Cornerback was the +125 favourite.

“The cash was clearly on cornerback and quarterback,” Pink Rock Resort sportsbook director Chuck Esposito mentioned.

Bettors dealt Station its largest loss on over 1½ working backs within the first spherical. The prop, which closed at -350, went over when the Falcons took Texas’ Bijan Robinson at No. 8 and the Lions took Alabama’s Jahmyr Gibbs at No. 12.

“We received a whole lot of motion on the over,” Esposito mentioned. “It was sort of a stunner to see Gibbs go No. 12 to Detroit with D’Andre Swift there and simply signing David Montgomery to a three-year deal.

“There’s a lot misinformation on the market on the draft. Each single day, there’s totally different tales. However a mock is only a mock. By the point we received to the fifth or sixth choose, all people may’ve ripped theirs up.”

Contact reporter Todd Dewey at tdewey@reviewjournal.com. Comply with @tdewey33 on Twitter.



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