With out Tom Brady working the present for Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers have one of many NFL’s lowest regular-season win totals.
Solely the Cardinals (5, 0ver -120) and Texans (5½, o-130) have a decrease quantity than the Bucs (6, -110) on the Westgate SuperBook and South Level sportsbook — which not too long ago posted their NFL win totals, playoff and division odds.
However skilled sports activities bettor Jeff Whitelaw believes Tampa’s whole is just too low. He guess the Buccaneers to go over six wins at even cash after they opened at 6 (u-120).
Tampa went 8-9 final season after going 13-4 in 2021 and 11-5 in 2020, when it gained the Tremendous Bowl in Brady’s first yr with the staff. Baker Mayfield is anticipated to switch Brady at quarterback.
“That’s clearly a downgrade from Brady. However the best way Brady performed the final yr or two, it wasn’t Tom Brady in his prime,” Whitelaw stated. “Mayfield performed very nicely final yr for the Rams.
“You’re asking this Tampa staff to mainly go 7-11, and so they’re in a reasonably weak (NFC South) division.”
Whitelaw additionally wagered on the Vikings to go over 8½ wins (-120) in an NFC North division that shall be with out Aaron Rodgers for the primary time since 2004.
Minnesota, which is 8½ (o-130) now after opening at -110, went 13-4 and gained the division title final season because it produced double-digit wins for the fourth time in eight years.
“The Vikings are very constant yr in and yr out, and so they’re in a weak division,” Whitelaw stated. “The Bears are smooth, Inexperienced Bay with out Rodgers is mediocre, and the Lions have improved. However I like to have a look at these groups which can be in smooth divisions.
“The quantity simply appears somewhat low to me. They’re a fairly good staff, and also you’re mainly asking them to be a half-game above .500.”
Simply 8 wins, child
The Raiders’ win whole is 7½ (under-155) on the Westgate, and so they’re +375 to make the playoffs and +1,250 to win the loaded AFC West.
The defending Tremendous Bowl champion Chiefs, who’ve gained seven straight division titles, are tied with the Bengals for the NFL’s highest win whole at 11½. The Chargers are at 9½ and the Broncos are at 8½.
“The worst factor for the Raiders is if you happen to put them within the AFC South, you possibly can speak playoffs,” SuperBook oddsmaker Ed Salmons stated. “However put them within the AFC West and so they simply hope they will get out of final place. They’re simply within the incorrect division.
“The Chargers are a staff that everybody all the time expects to get higher. One in all these years, they’re going to essentially put it collectively. Then you will have Denver, which goes to be dramatically improved simply based mostly on the coach. Sean Payton is a good coach in comparison with what they’d.”
Whitelaw stated the Raiders’ whole is spot on. However he leans to the over, which pays +135.
“It’s protected to say they’re most likely going to win seven or eight video games,” he stated. “The quantity’s fairly good. It’s going to be proper in that space. However due to the plus-money, I’d lean to the over.”
Moreover the Raiders’ six video games towards the AFC West, they’ll play 4 video games towards the AFC East (Payments, Dolphins, Jets, Patriots), 4 towards the NFC North (Lions, Vikings, Packers, Bears) and three towards the Colts, Steelers and Giants.
For Raiders bettors, Whitelaw recommends ready for Circa to submit its alternate win totals and both go over 6½ or below 8½ at minus-money.
“I like (Jimmy) Garoppolo. I feel he’ll be somewhat bit higher match, though (Derek) Carr may be the extra proficient quarterback,” he stated. “Josh Jacobs is without doubt one of the finest working backs within the league. If he comes again, they’ll have a really powerful working recreation, and they are often very aggressive.
“Plus, AFC groups get that further dwelling recreation this yr.”
The Cowboys’ whole is as much as 10 (-110) on the Westgate after opening at 9½ (o-130). The Rams are 7½ (u-175) after opening at u-155. The Seahawks are 8½ (o-140) after opening at o-120. The Jaguars are 9½ (o-135) after opening at o-120.
Contact reporter Todd Dewey at email@example.com. Comply with @tdewey33 on Twitter.