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Masters best bets by sharp golf handicappers include Tony Finau


Wagering on the Masters is a convention in contrast to every other for sharp golf bettors.

“That is the one match of the 12 months the place you may actually get strong costs as a result of they’re up so lengthy,” Westgate SuperBook golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman stated.

With Masters odds on the board for 10 months, sharp handicappers are capable of finding worth on a number of golfers at completely different factors in the course of the 12 months.

Sherman guess on eight gamers to win a inexperienced jacket, together with a number of at significantly better numbers than their present costs: Jon Rahm (12-1), Rory McIlroy (15-1), Xander Schauffele (25-1), Tony Finau (55-1), Brooks Koepka (80-1), Tom Kim (100-1), Jason Day (150-1) and Harold Varner III (300-1).

His finest worth play is on Day, a former PGA Championship winner who’s 33-1 at Circa Sports activities after reeling off 4 straight top-10 finishes earlier this 12 months.

“He’s been phenomenal to begin this season,” Sherman stated. “He’s been rock-solid constant. He’s performed in addition to anybody.”

Wes Reynolds, co-host of VSiN’s “Lengthy Photographs” golf betting podcast, additionally performed Day at 40-1 two weeks in the past.

Reynolds has one other frequent play with Sherman on Tony Finau, who’s all the way down to 25-1 and is among the largest liabilities on the SuperBook.

“Finau has been shut many instances in majors, with a top-five in all 4 majors and 10 top-10s within the 26 he’s performed,” stated Reynolds (@WesReynolds1). “The distinction between these majors and this one is that Finau now has win fairness and extra confidence. He has gained 3 times on the PGA Tour since enjoying his final main.”

At present odds, Sherman stated among the finest worth is on Sungjae Im, who’s 40-1 on the Westgate. Reynolds additionally made Im one among his finest bets.

“In 10 begins this 12 months, Sungjae has recorded seven top-25s and three top-10s. He’s gaining strokes in every space this season and ranks sixth within the all-around rating on the PGA Tour,” Reynolds stated. “Whereas he has largely struggled within the different majors, we will’t say the identical about Augusta, the place he completed second in his debut in 2020 and adopted a missed reduce in 2021 by returning final 12 months to complete eighth.”

Listed here are Reynolds’ different finest bets, with feedback on every:

Jordan Spieth, 19-1

“Spieth has already had a pair appears at victory in 2023 with finishes of sixth in Phoenix, fourth at Bay Hill and third at Tampa.

“You can argue that he most likely ought to have three inexperienced jackets already as a substitute of simply the one he earned in 2015.”

Justin Thomas, 25-1

“Whereas Thomas has by no means been within the hunt on Sunday heading to Amen Nook, he has proven glimpses that he is usually a Masters champion.

“He has led on the midway mark (2020), defied a gradual begin to end eighth (2022) and fought again for twelfth (2019). JT additionally has Jim ‘Bones’ Mackay on the bag. ‘Bones’ gained this factor 3 times with Phil Mickelson.”

Collin Morikawa, 33-1

“It’s onerous to imagine that it has been virtually 18 months since Morikawa has gained wherever. It regarded like he was going to open 2023 with a victory earlier than dropping a nine-shot lead within the season opener on the Sentry Match of Champions.

“In the meantime, Morikawa is again as one of many world’s finest iron gamers.”

Hideki Matsuyama, 50-1

“The 2021 Masters champion is slowly coming into type with a fifth at The Gamers Championship and fifteenth on the Valero Texas Open final week.

“Seven of his eight PGA Tour wins have come on bentgrass greens. Whereas a traditionally shaky putter, Matsuyama has gained with the flat stick in 10 of his final 12 occasions and is having the most effective placing season of his profession.”

Min Woo Lee, 85-1

“Min Woo Lee is lengthy off the tee and excellent across the inexperienced, plus his strategy play has improved markedly over the previous 12 months.

“He proved he might compete with the sport’s elite final month when he tied for sixth at The Gamers Championship.”

Contact reporter Todd Dewey at Observe @tdewey33 on Twitter.


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