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Belmont Stakes odds, picks, horse-by-horse analysis

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Michael “The Wizard” Kipness, knowledgeable horse racing handicapper since 1986, analyzes the nine-horse subject for Saturday’s a hundred and fifty fifth Belmont Stakes, designating every horse as a contender or pretender to win the third leg of the Triple Crown.

Go to Wizardraceandsports.com for his full card picks and wagering methods for Friday’s card (11 races) and Saturday’s card (13 races), in addition to academic instruments on how you can win cash on the races and a latest podcast.

Submit place, horse, jockey, morning-line odds:

1. Tapit Footwear, J. Ortiz, 20-1

Has proven regular enchancment and extra tactical pace in all three begins this 12 months. Overwhelmed by a head final day trip by Belmont Stakes rival Crimson Route One. This can be a massive step up in school, which I really feel at this level is simply too massive of an impediment to beat. Pretender.

2. Tapit Trice, Saez, 3-1

Following 4 straight wins during which he confirmed regular enchancment, Tapit Trice completed a disappointing seventh within the Kentucky Derby because the second betting selection. I really feel he’ll enhance within the Belmont with the freshening, added distance and coach Todd Pletcher in his nook. Contender.

3. Arcangelo, Castellano, 8-1

Confirmed massive enchancment stretching out in distance profitable the Peter Pan over this observe. Acts like he ought to deal with the 1½ miles, which he’s bred very effectively for. He’s 2-2 with Corridor of Fame jockey Javier Castellano aboard. Contender.

4. Nationwide Treasure, Velazquez, 5-1

The Preakness winner couldn’t have had a greater arrange that day on the entrance finish. Bettering 3-year-old from the all the time harmful Bob Baffert barn responded effectively to blinkers again on. Should respect his tactical pace stretching out in distance, however the Belmont will check his stamina in a more durable spot. The one to catch. Contender.

5. Il Miracolo, Meneses, 30-1

Exits a front-running win, the place he dropped in school and confronted a lot weaker competitors whereas going a mile and including Lasix for the primary time. Has no shot within the Belmont stretching out in distance. Pretender.

6. Forte, I. Ortiz Jr., 5-2

The Kentucky Derby favourite was scratched on the morning of the race due to a foot harm. He’s doubtless 100% prepared for the Belmont. Forte has gained six of his final seven begins, together with final day trip when he defeated Derby winner Mage. Has the appears of a colt who should not have any drawback dealing with 1½ miles. He broke his maiden in his solely begin at Belmont. Amazingly, coach Todd Pletcher is trying to win the Belmont Stakes for the fifth time in his illustrious profession. My concern is how match and wholesome Forte is getting back from a 70-day layoff and that he’ll doubtless be over-bet. Contender.

7. Hit Present, Franco, 10-1

His fifth-place end within the Derby was higher than it appears. Broke from the dreaded No. 1 gap. Eased outdoors on the far flip, making a robust center transfer into fast fractions. Misplaced floor within the remaining levels of the race which was not surprising due to his journey. Hit Present has proven regular enchancment in all three begins this 12 months. With the fitting journey and trip within the Belmont, he could make his presence felt at massive odds. Contender.

8. Angel of Empire, Prat, 7-2

Steadily bettering 3-year-old rallied from far again within the Derby to complete a detailed third. Within the Belmont, he won’t be taken out of his sport, which is to settle early and make one run. However I don’t anticipate him to be as far again on this smaller subject. The added distance ought to pose no drawback. Coaching very effectively. Shall be outfitted with blinkers for the primary time in his profession. Contender.

9. Crimson Route One, Rosario, 15-1

He’s a deep one-run nearer who was taken out of his sport within the Preakness. Will return to his greatest sport within the Belmont, however his working fashion hardly ever wins this race. I additionally really feel he’s not as gifted as a number of others. Pretender.

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